Saturday, January 19, 2008

Drinking Liberally Presidential Caucus Survey Results

Thanks to all that participated in the Survey this past week. The results are presented below, along with supplemental information presented during the survey. After the online survey results are presented, then the January 7th Drinking Liberally question results are presented.

There are some differences between the two, which may or may not be surprising to you. I will leave the analysis up to you.

Introduction to Survey

Who is your ideal liberal candidate for president? Choose your favorite person even if that person is no longer running for president.All responses are anonymous. Please be sure to read the introduction at the beginning of each page. It will give you the context on how to answer the questions.
These questions replicate a DL Olympia Caucus that we conducted at the first January Drinking Liberally meeting in which 16 people participated.

After you vote on each page, the following page will provide a description of how people voted at the January DL Meeting. Please make your selection first and then proceed to the next page -- No looking at the results first and then voting, and no changing your vote after you look!


Now on to the survey...

Favorite Candidate

On this page, you will identify your favorite candidate for president independent on whether he/she is still running or no longer running.

Which candidate would you most likely support for President?

Percent Count
Hillary Clinton 15.40% 4
Barack Obama 19.20% 5
John Edwards 23.10% 6
Dennis Kucinich 23.10% 6
Joe Biden 7.70% 2
Chris Dodd 0.00% 0
Bill Richardson 0.00% 0
None of these choices 11.50% 3

2. If you selected "None of these choices" above, please write in your favorite candidate.

Percent Count
Ralph Nader 7.70% 2
Russ Feingold 3.80% 1

At the first January DL Olympia Meeting, here are the results of the poll of the 16 people who participated during the meeting:
5 Barack Obama
5 John Edwards
4 Hillary Clinton
2 Dennis Kucinich

----------------------------------------------------------------------

Your preference for "viable candidates"

These questions will identify your preference for candidates who are currently running for President, and who have gathered significant support in the Iowa and New Hampshire primaries

Which candidate would you most likely support for President?

Percent Count
Hillary Clinton 18.20% 4
Barack Obama 22.70% 5
John Edwards 54.50% 12
Do not wish to respond 4.50% 1
answered question 22
skipped question

4

At the first January DL Olympia Meeting, here are the results of the poll of the 16 people who participated during the meeting:
6 Barack Obama
6 John Edwards
4 Hillary Clinton

----------------------------------------------------------------------

Now for an interesting twist....

Let's assume that no Candidate can garner enough electoral votes to win the nomination. After much arm twisting by Democratic party leaders, Al Gore decides to be considered as the party's nominee.

Which candidate would you most likely support for President?

Percent Count
Hillary Clinton 4.50% 1
Barack Obama 22.70% 5
John Edwards 40.90% 9
Al Gore 31.80% 7
answered question 22
skipped question 4

At the first January DL Olympia Meeting, here are the results of the poll of the 16 people who participated during the meeting:

Of the 16 people who voted, 14 changed their votes to Al Gore.

Sorry, I lost the notes that contained the records for the other two votes who didn't change their votes....

----------------------------------------------------------------------

No comments: